Best Ballon d'Or odds

Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ceremony Mon 26 Oct · London
Odds last checked Sun 13 Sep · sources below

As of Sunday 13 September 2026, Harry Kane is the odds-on favourite to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or at a best public price of 1.80 (55.6% implied), ahead of Lamine Yamal (5.50) and Rodri (9.00). The winner is announced in London on 26 October 2026.

Men's Ballon d'Or odds 2026

#1 Harry Kane
Harry Kane
Bayern Munich
55.6% — 1.80×best price
#2 Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal
Barcelona
18.2% — 5.50×best price
#3 Rodri
Rodri
Manchester City · won 2024
11.1% — 9.00×best price
#4 Kylian Mbappé
Kylian Mbappé
Real Madrid
9.1% — 11.0×best price
#5 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Paris Saint-Germain
7.7% — 13.0×best price
#6 Pau Cubarsí
Pau Cubarsí
Barcelona
4.3% — 23.0×best price
#7 Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi
Inter Miami · won ×8
3.8% — 26.0×best price
#8 Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz
Paris Saint-Germain
3.8% — 26.0×best price

Best publicly listed odds via Oddly Likely · checked Sun 13 Sep 2026.

Women's Ballon d'Or odds 2026

As of 13 September 2026, no major bookmaker publicly quotes a women's Ballon d'Or 2026 winner market. Aitana Bonmatí, winner of the last three editions, is the presumptive favourite; odds will appear here the moment a market is listed.

Leading contenders

Aitana Bonmatí
Aitana Bonmatí
Barcelona · won 2023–25
Mariona Caldentey
Mariona Caldentey
Arsenal
Alexia Putellas
Alexia Putellas
Barcelona · won ×2
Alessia Russo
Alessia Russo
Arsenal
Hannah Hampton
Hannah Hampton
Chelsea
Ewa Pajor
Ewa Pajor
Barcelona
Chloe Kelly
Chloe Kelly
Arsenal
Caroline Graham Hansen
Caroline Graham Hansen
Barcelona

Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? The contenders in detail

What are Harry Kane's Ballon d'Or odds?

Harry Kane is 1.80 (55.6% implied) to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or as of 13 September 2026. Kane won the Bundesliga and the DFB-Pokal with Bayern Munich, reached the World Cup semi-final with England and scored 61 goals in 51 club games — no other contender pairs that volume with two major trophies in the 2025/26 window.

What are Lamine Yamal's Ballon d'Or odds?

Lamine Yamal is 5.50 (18.2% implied) to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or as of 13 September 2026. Yamal won La Liga with Barcelona and lifted the World Cup with Spain at 19, and victory in October would make him the youngest Ballon d'Or winner ever.

What are Kylian Mbappé's Ballon d'Or odds?

Kylian Mbappé is 11.0 (9.1% implied) to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or as of 13 September 2026. Mbappé finished as Real Madrid's top scorer and led France on their run at the 2026 World Cup.

What are Khvicha Kvaratskhelia's Ballon d'Or odds?

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is 13.0 (7.7% implied) to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or as of 13 September 2026. Kvaratskhelia was the standout in the PSG side that won the Champions League, which is why he sits just behind Mbappé despite a far smaller profile.

What are Rodri's Ballon d'Or odds?

Rodri is 9.00 (11.1% implied) to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or as of 13 September 2026. Rodri won the award in 2024 and took the Golden Ball as the best player at the 2026 World Cup with Spain.

What are Lionel Messi's Ballon d'Or odds?

Lionel Messi is 26.0 (3.8% implied) to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or as of 13 September 2026. The record eight-time winner was 51.0 before the World Cup, and his 8 goals there shortened him to 26.0, where he has held ever since.

What are Jude Bellingham's Ballon d'Or odds?

Jude Bellingham is 101 (1.0% implied) to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or as of 13 September 2026. Bellingham played the full 2025/26 season with Real Madrid and reached the World Cup semi-final with England.

What are Ousmane Dembélé's Ballon d'Or odds?

Ousmane Dembélé is 51.0 (2.0% implied) to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or as of 13 September 2026. Dembélé is the holder — he won the 2025 Ballon d'Or — and no man has retained the award since Lionel Messi in 2023.

Women's award

What are Aitana Bonmatí's Ballon d'Or odds?

Aitana Bonmatí has no published odds — as of 13 September 2026 no major bookmaker publicly quotes a women's Ballon d'Or 2026 winner market — but as winner of the last three editions (2023–25) she is the presumptive favourite.

What are Mariona Caldentey's Ballon d'Or odds?

Mariona Caldentey has no published odds either, as no bookmaker has opened a women's market, but her trophy-winning season with Arsenal makes her the strongest challenger to Bonmatí in most shortlists.

What are Alexia Putellas' Ballon d'Or odds?

Alexia Putellas, a two-time winner with Barcelona, is likewise unpriced until a bookmaker opens a women's market, and remains the third name in the conversation behind Bonmatí and Caldentey.

Every Ballon d'Or winner, 1956–2025

The men's award was contested as the FIFA Ballon d'Or, merging with the FIFA World Player of the Year award, from 2010 to 2015.

YearWinnerClub
2025Ousmane DembéléParis Saint-Germain
2024RodriManchester City
2023Lionel MessiInter Miami
2022Karim BenzemaReal Madrid
2021Lionel MessiParis Saint-Germain
2020Not awarded (COVID)—
2019Lionel MessiBarcelona
2018Luka ModrićReal Madrid
2017Cristiano RonaldoReal Madrid
2016Cristiano RonaldoReal Madrid
2015Lionel MessiBarcelona
2014Cristiano RonaldoReal Madrid
2013Cristiano RonaldoReal Madrid
2012Lionel MessiBarcelona
2011Lionel MessiBarcelona
2010Lionel MessiBarcelona
2009Lionel MessiBarcelona
2008Cristiano RonaldoManchester United
2007KakáMilan
2006Fabio CannavaroReal Madrid
2005RonaldinhoBarcelona
2004Andriy ShevchenkoMilan
2003Pavel NedvědJuventus
2002RonaldoReal Madrid
2001Michael OwenLiverpool
2000Luís FigoReal Madrid
1999RivaldoBarcelona
1998Zinedine ZidaneJuventus
1997RonaldoInter Milan
1996Matthias SammerBorussia Dortmund
1995George WeahMilan
1994Hristo StoichkovBarcelona
1993Roberto BaggioJuventus
1992Marco van BastenMilan
1991Jean-Pierre PapinMarseille
1990Lothar MatthäusInter Milan
1989Marco van BastenMilan
1988Marco van BastenMilan
1987Ruud GullitMilan
1986Igor BelanovDynamo Kyiv
1985Michel PlatiniJuventus
1984Michel PlatiniJuventus
1983Michel PlatiniJuventus
1982Paolo RossiJuventus
1981Karl-Heinz RummeniggeBayern Munich
1980Karl-Heinz RummeniggeBayern Munich
1979Kevin KeeganHamburger SV
1978Kevin KeeganHamburger SV
1977Allan SimonsenBorussia Mönchengladbach
1976Franz BeckenbauerBayern Munich
1975Oleg BlokhinDynamo Kyiv
1974Johan CruyffBarcelona
1973Johan CruyffBarcelona
1972Franz BeckenbauerBayern Munich
1971Johan CruyffAjax
1970Gerd MüllerBayern Munich
1969Gianni RiveraMilan
1968George BestManchester United
1967Flórián AlbertFerencváros
1966Bobby CharltonManchester United
1965EusébioBenfica
1964Denis LawManchester United
1963Lev YashinDynamo Moscow
1962Josef MasopustDukla Prague
1961Omar SívoriJuventus
1960Luis SuárezBarcelona
1959Alfredo Di StéfanoReal Madrid
1958Raymond KopaReal Madrid
1957Alfredo Di StéfanoReal Madrid
1956Stanley MatthewsBlackpool

Ballon d'Or Féminin winners, 2018–2025

YearWinnerClub
2025Aitana BonmatíBarcelona
2024Aitana BonmatíBarcelona
2023Aitana BonmatíBarcelona
2022Alexia PutellasBarcelona
2021Alexia PutellasBarcelona
2020Not awarded (COVID)—
2019Megan RapinoeSeattle Reign FC
2018Ada HegerbergLyon

When and where to watch the 2026 Ballon d'Or

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony takes place in London on Monday 26 October 2026, with the red carpet expected from 6:00 PM GMT and the show expected to start at 7:00 PM GMT (to be confirmed).

CityLocal time
London7:00 PM GMT
Paris / Berlin / Madrid8:00 PM CET
New York3:00 PM EDT
Los Angeles12:00 PM PDT
Lagos8:00 PM WAT
Riyadh10:00 PM AST
Mumbai12:30 AM IST (next day)
Sydney6:00 AM AEDT (next day)

In previous editions the ceremony streamed live and free on ballondor.com alongside regional broadcast partners; in the US it aired on Paramount+ and CBS Sports. The UK broadcaster and other 2026 broadcast details have not yet been announced (broadcast details to be confirmed).

2026 Ballon d'Or nominees

Men

  • Jude Bellingham
  • Pau Cubarsí
  • Marc Cucurella
  • Ousmane Dembélé
  • Luis Díaz
  • Bruno Fernandes
  • Gabriel
  • Erling Haaland
  • Achraf Hakimi
  • Harry Kane
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • Lamine Yamal
  • Sadio Mané
  • Marquinhos
  • Lautaro Martínez
  • Kylian Mbappé
  • Nuno Mendes
  • Lionel Messi
  • João Neves
  • Michael Olise
  • Willian Pacho
  • Julián Quiñones
  • Declan Rice
  • Rodri
  • Fabián Ruiz
  • William Saliba
  • Ferran Torres
  • Dayot Upamecano
  • Vinícius Jr.
  • Vitinha

Women

  • Selma Bacha
  • Barbra Banda
  • Klara Bühl
  • Esmee Brugts
  • Mariona Caldentey
  • Scarlett Camberos
  • Kerstin Casparij
  • Temwa Chawinga
  • Cata Coll
  • Melchie Dumornay
  • Caroline Graham Hansen
  • Alex Greenwood
  • Patri Guijarro
  • Pernille Harder
  • Yui Hasegawa
  • Rose Lavelle
  • Mapi León
  • Lorena
  • Melvine Malard
  • Manaka Matsukubo
  • Vivianne Miedema
  • Ewa Pajor
  • Claudia Pina
  • Alexia Putellas
  • Wendie Renard
  • Alessia Russo
  • Khadija Shaw
  • Momoko Tanikawa
  • Caroline Weir
  • Tessa Wullaert

Ballon d'Or 2026 — frequently asked questions

When is the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony, the 70th edition of the award, takes place on Monday 26 October 2026 in London — the first time it is held outside Paris. The ceremony is expected to start at 7:00 PM GMT (to be confirmed).

What time does the Ballon d'Or start?

The 2026 Ballon d'Or is expected to start at 7:00 PM GMT — 3:00 PM ET, 8:00 PM CET and 12:00 PM PT — the organisers have not yet confirmed the exact time (to be confirmed).

Where can I watch the Ballon d'Or 2026?

The ceremony has previously streamed live and free on ballondor.com, alongside regional broadcast partners; in the US it has aired on Paramount+ and CBS Sports. The UK broadcaster for 2026 has not yet been confirmed (broadcast details to be confirmed).

Who are the 2026 Ballon d'Or nominees?

The 2026 Ballon d'Or shortlists — 30 men and 30 women — were announced on 8 September 2026 on ballondor.com; see the full lists below.

Who is the favourite to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Harry Kane is the odds-on favourite to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or at a best public price of 1.80 (55.6% implied probability) as of 13 September 2026. Lamine Yamal (5.50) and Rodri (9.00) are next in the market.

Who won the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ousmane Dembélé won the 2025 men's Ballon d'Or. Aitana Bonmatí won the 2025 women's award, her third in a row.

Who has won the most Ballon d'Ors?

Lionel Messi has won the Ballon d'Or a record eight times, ahead of Cristiano Ronaldo on five. Michel Platini, Johan Cruyff and Marco van Basten are next, with three wins each.

How is the Ballon d'Or winner decided?

The Ballon d'Or is decided by a jury of international journalists — one per nation in the FIFA top 100 for the men's award, and a 50-strong panel for the women's award — organised by France Football with UEFA, each ranking players against criteria led by individual performance and team achievements. For 2026 the voting window covers the 2025/26 season, including the 2026 World Cup, and the eligibility window closed on 31 July 2026.

Why do Ballon d'Or odds differ between bookmakers?

Each bookmaker sets its own price and builds in its own margin, so the same player is quoted at different odds from book to book, and comparing every book for the best price is what gives you the best value. You can convert any price to a percentage with the implied probability calculator.

Rankings and comparisons are produced by Oddly Likely.

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